Hi there, @michellemeazell ...
Have you investigated the third-party external LTI tool called Dropout Detective by AspirEDU? I used to work at a Technical College, and we purchased Dropout Detective for a few years and had good results. You can find more information at Edu App Center: Dropout Detective. There is also some information you can find at ASPIREDU EDUCATIONAL ANALYTICS. I'm sure that @Chris_Munzo would be happy to tell you more about it.
I'm sure there are other LTI tools that are available at Edu Apps (eduappcenter.com). In fact, if you go to the EduAppCenter and then type in the word "risk" (without the quotes) in the search box, you'll find some other LTI tools in addition to Dropout Detective that might have some features you are looking for...but I'll leave that search up to you to investigate.
Hopefully these resources will be of help to you, and hopefully Chris will be able to chime in with some helpful solutions for you, too.
Sing out if you have any other questions about this...thanks!